January 20, 2004

Predictions for blogging from 2 yrs back

Having fun searching my site tonight. oh the simple joys of blogging. When we were rounding the corner, coming out of 2001, I made some wildass predictions for 2002. Well, they didn't all come true exactly as I planned, but some were pretty close:

Some iteration of instant messaging and chat functions will merge with blogs for folks to talk amongst themselves--taking 'blogback' to the next level.

--now known as Joi Ito's IRC channel.

More idiots will begin blogging, annoying the hell out of blog pioneers and increasing the velocity of insult hurling.

--I cop.

Doc Searls will announce the first blogger wedding mid-year, when friends who met blogging decide to tie the knot. The conception of their first child will be bloggerized. RageBoy will be all over that shit.

--Well, at least the first part was right. Still waiting for part two (or else send me the link).

More celebrities will jump on the blog bandwagon.

--Holy cow, just take a hop over to my favorite campaign blog to see how far we've come down that road.

RageBoy and Winer will go at it again, likely using biological and chemical weapons this time. There will be no winner, but lots of memes.

--Does "that asshole dave winer" ring a bell?

Corporations will get wind that employees are blogging during work hours and issue anti-blogging policies.

--Check. And even fire bloggers (or the more popular option, send them to lepper colonies).

Smart companies will get wind that employees are blogging during work hours and imagine the possibilities.

--Well, there's always 2005. But seriously, I'm sure some have. Leave me a link.

A major motion picture will feature a character who blogs. The character will be a psychopathic alcoholic intellectual head case. The part will be offered to Jack Nicholson, who will turn it down because bloggers don't get cute chicks.

--shhhh. i'm working on the novel. shhhhh.

Some company, somewhere, will take Gonzo Marketing to heart and underwrite some blog, somewhere, somehow. Please.

--see above. shhhh.

Community blogs--or "party blogs" like Gonzo Engaged--will grow in residents and in numbers, morphing into their own form of blogging. These forms will separate from one-man blogs, which will lean more toward journal and journalism than community.

--Oh boy, that's a loaded gun right about now. No comment.

David Weinberger will stop blogging again, only to start again in 2004.

--My crystal ball must have broken. David's STILL going strong! (...you see, you kind of had to be there. when david started blogging again, he had this funny award he gave himself for being the winner of time between posts or something... anyway, it was funny. This was before his template was all about oranges and browns...)

That wraps up my psychic abilities in a nutshell. All in all, not too shabby I'd say.